Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014 0.000015 0.000018
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000015 0.000019 0.000023
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024 0.000034
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000041
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000049
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000020 0.000033 0.000059
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000039 0.000074
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000024 0.000043 0.000088
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000025 0.000049 0.000106
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000054 0.000126
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000058 0.000146
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000029 0.000064 0.000173
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000030 0.000072 0.000210
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000080 0.000253
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000084 0.000285
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000033 0.000091 0.000332
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000033 0.000097 0.000380
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000035 0.000106 0.000454
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000038 0.000123 0.000583
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000040 0.000134 0.000693
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000042 0.000150 0.000847
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000043 0.000164 0.001014